National Hurricane Center (Atlantic) Reports



NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 302323
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the south-central Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Hurricane for

  • Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)
    ...MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC SINCE FELIX IN 2007... As of 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 the center of MATTHEW was located near 13.3, -72.3 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 941 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 160 mph.

Hurricane MATTHEW

  • Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 12
    Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 010257 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC SINCE FELIX IN 2007... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 72.3W ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM NW OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Jamaica A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Haiti from the southern border with the Dominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next 12 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia and elsewhere in Hispaniola should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of Matthew. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 72.3 West. Matthew is moving just south of due west near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Saturday, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move north of the Guajira Peninsula tonight, move across the central Caribbean Sea on Saturday, and be approaching Jamaica late Sunday. Data from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible this weekend, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The minimum central pressure estimated by a reconnaissance aircraft was 941 mb (27.79 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in portions of the warning area in Colombia overnight. Hurricane conditions are possible on Jamaica on Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Haiti by late Sunday. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Colombia from the Venezuelan border to Riohacha. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Venezuela from Coro to the Colombian border. Rainfall totals of 10 to 15 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches are expected across Jamaica and southern and southwestern Haiti. These rains may produce life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Avila ]]>
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 12
    Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016
    
    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 010257
    TCMAT4
    
    HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
    0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016
    
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
    
    NONE.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
    
    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * JAMAICA
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
    PORT-AU-PRINCE
    
    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
    THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...
    CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE
    NEXT 12 HOURS.
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
    
    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA AND
    ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.
    INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    MATTHEW.
    
    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  72.3W AT 01/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
    EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
    64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
    50 KT....... 80NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
    34 KT.......180NE  60SE  50SW 170NW.
    12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 270SW 330NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  72.3W AT 01/0300Z
    AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  72.0W
    
    FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.3N  73.3W
    MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
    34 KT...160NE  80SE  50SW 150NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N  74.2W
    MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
    64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
    34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 140NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.6N  75.0W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
    34 KT...150NE 100SE  70SW 130NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.0N  76.0W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
    34 KT...170NE 120SE  70SW 140NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.0N  76.3W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    50 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
    34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
    
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.1N  76.3W
    MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N  76.5W
    MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  72.3W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA
    
    
    
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 12
    Issued at 1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
    
    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 010259
    TCDAT4
    
    HURRICANE MATTHEW DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
    1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
    
    An Air Force reconnaissance plane recently measured a peak SFMR wind
    of 143 kt and then 138 kt during this mission's eye penetrations.
    Furthermore, the satellite presentation has improved considerably
    with a distinct eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection.
    The raw objective T-numbers from UW-CIMSS have been above 7.0 since
    2100 UTC. On this basis, the initial intensity has been increased to
    140 kt, making Matthew a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
    Wind Scale. This is the first Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic
    basin since Hurricane Felix in 2007.
    
    Matthew probably is near its peak intensity and will likely maintain
    a similar strength during the next 12 hours or so. Data from the
    reconnaissance plane show an incipient outer band of maximum
    winds, indicating that an eyewall replacement cycle could occur
    soon. This should result in fluctuations in intensity, and given
    that southwesterly shear is still affecting the cyclone, some
    weakening is anticipated. However, Matthew is forecast to be a
    category 4 hurricane by the time it moves near Jamaica and eastern
    Cuba. Some additional weakening is expected over the high terrain of
    Cuba.  It is noted that none the guidance ever indicated the rapid
    strengthening of Matthew.
    
    Matthew is still moving south of due west or 265 degrees at 6 kt
    steered by a strong high pressure system over the western Atlantic.
    In about 12 hours, the hurricane should be on the western edge of
    the high and ahead of a deepening trough over the Gulf of Mexico.
    This steering pattern should force Matthew to turn northwestward and
    then northward at about 5 to 10 kt. The track guidance has been very
    consistent with this scenario, and there are no reasons to deviate
    much from the previous NHC forecast. At the end of the forecast
    period, when Matthew is expected to be in the Bahamas, the track
    models are in less agreement with both track and speed, increasing
    the uncertainty in the forecast. The NHC forecast follows closely
    the multi-model consensus TVCN and TVCX.
    
    It is important to remind users that average NHC track forecast
    errors are around 175 miles at day 4 and 230 miles at day 5.
    Therefore, it is too soon to rule out possible hurricane impacts
    from Matthew in Florida.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  01/0300Z 13.3N  72.3W  140 KT 160 MPH
     12H  01/1200Z 13.3N  73.3W  135 KT 155 MPH
     24H  02/0000Z 13.7N  74.2W  125 KT 145 MPH
     36H  02/1200Z 14.6N  75.0W  115 KT 130 MPH
     48H  03/0000Z 16.0N  76.0W  115 KT 130 MPH
     72H  04/0000Z 19.0N  76.3W  115 KT 130 MPH
     96H  05/0000Z 23.1N  76.3W   90 KT 105 MPH
    120H  06/0000Z 26.0N  76.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
    
    $$
    Forecaster Avila
    
    
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
    Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016
    
    000
    FONT14 KNHC 010258
    PWSAT4
                                                                        
    HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12               
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
    0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
    13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    140 KTS...160 MPH...260 KM/H.                                       
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    ROCKY MT NC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
     
    FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
     
    CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
     
    FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
     
    COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
     
    LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
     
    CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
     
    BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
     
    SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
     
    KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
     
    WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
     
    MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
     
    JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
     
    GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
     
    DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
     
    THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
     
    ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
     
    COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
    COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
    COCOA BEACH FL 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
     
    PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
    PATRICK AFB    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
     
    FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)
    FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
    FT PIERCE FL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
     
    W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  13(20)
    W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
    W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
     
    FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  12(20)
    FT LAUDERDALE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
    FT LAUDERDALE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
     
    MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)
    MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
    MIAMI FL       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
     
    MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   5(14)
    MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
    MARATHON FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
     
    KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
    KEY WEST FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
     
    NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
     
    FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
     
    VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
     
    TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
     
    CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
     
    PT GALLINAS    34 19   3(22)   3(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
     
    GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  16(28)
    GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
    GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
     
    NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  27(30)  16(46)
    NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   8(20)
    NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)
     
    ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  31(36)  13(49)
    ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   6(22)
    ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
     
    GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  38(48)  12(60)
    GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  22(24)   6(30)
    GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   3(15)
     
    SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  31(37)  12(49)
    SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)
    SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
     
    MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  20(29)   4(33)
    MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)
    MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
     
    GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   2(14)
     
    HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
     
    ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
    ISLE OF PINES  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
     
    CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)   3(20)
    CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
    CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
     
    CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)  25(50)   3(53)
    CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  17(24)   2(26)
    CAMAGUEY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)
     
    GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  43(52)  14(66)   2(68)
    GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)  12(32)   1(33)
    GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   8(18)   X(18)
     
    GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
    GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
     
    MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  39(59)   7(66)   1(67)
    MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)   6(35)   1(36)
    MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   4(21)   X(21)
     
    KINGSTON       34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  36(45)  35(80)   5(85)   X(85)
    KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  37(52)   5(57)   X(57)
    KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   4(35)   X(35)
     
    LES CAYES      34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)  14(22)  23(45)   5(50)   1(51)
    LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   3(17)   X(17)
    LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
     
    PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)  13(20)   4(24)   1(25)
    PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
    PORT-AU-PRINCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
     
    CAPE BEATA     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   3(16)   X(16)
     
    PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
     
    SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
    
  • Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics

    Hurricane MATTHEW 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2016 02:59:06 GMT


    Hurricane MATTHEW 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 01 Oct 2016 03:04:34 GMT


National Hurricane Center (East Pacific) Reports



NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 302344
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI SEP 30 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  The system is moving
west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, and development is not expected
before it reaches cooler waters in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Oct 2016 03:05:19 GMT

Interesting Weather Facts
? AVERAGE YEARLY TEMPERATURE
The average yearly temperature of New York, St. Louis and San Francisco differs by only 1.8°F.