National Hurricane Center (Atlantic) Reports



NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231709
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brennan



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 23 Jul 2016 21:07:16 GMT


National Hurricane Center (East Pacific) Reports



NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231710
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Frank, located about 300 miles south of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Georgette,
located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Tropical Storm Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Storm FRANK (EP2/EP072016)
    ...FRANK HAS NOT STRENGTHENED... ...PASSING NORTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND... As of 3:00 PM MDT Sat Jul 23 the center of FRANK was located near 19.1, -110.6 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 997 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Tropical Storm FRANK

  • Tropical Storm FRANK Public Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 300 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 232036 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANK ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016 300 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016 ...FRANK HAS NOT STRENGTHENED... ...PASSING NORTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 110.6W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Frank was located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 110.6 West. Frank is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and a west or west-northwest track is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, with weakening forecast to begin on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. Socorro Island recently reported a wind gust to 53 mph...85 km/h. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells associated with Frank are affecting the coasts of the southern Baja California peninsula and the state of Sinaloa. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake ]]>
  • Tropical Storm FRANK Forecast Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    WTPZ22 KNHC 232035
    TCMEP2
    
    TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072016
    2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 110.6W AT 23/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
    50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
    12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 110.6W AT 23/2100Z
    AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.3W
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.5N 111.5W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.2N 112.9W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.6N 114.1W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.8N 115.2W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
    34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.9N 117.5W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
    
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.8N 120.1W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 22.5N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 110.6W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE
    
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm FRANK Forecast Discussion Number 9
    Issued at 300 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    WTPZ42 KNHC 232036
    TCDEP2
    
    TROPICAL STORM FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072016
    300 PM MDT SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    Convection continues to pulse near the center of Frank, with some
    tilt of the circulation apparent on the latest satellite images.
    Northeasterly shear has been a bit stronger than forecast, and
    this has seemingly prevented any intensification of the cyclone.
    Satellite estimates continue to support an initial wind speed of 55
    kt.  With the models keeping the shear at moderate levels for the
    next several days, it makes sense to no longer call for any
    significant strengthening of the storm.  Weakening should begin on
    Monday due to Frank encountering marginal water temperatures.  Model
    guidance has come into better agreement on Frank no longer becoming
    a hurricane, and the latest NHC intensity forecast is decreased from
    the previous one, near the model consensus.  Remnant low status is
    forecast at day 5 due to 23 deg C waters near the forecast path of
    Frank and plentiful dry & stable air nearby.
    
    Microwave and visible images show the storm is moving a bit slower
    to the west-northwest, now at 6 kt.  Frank should move to the
    west-northwest or west for the next several days beneath the
    subtropical ridge.  Only small changes were made to the previous
    forecast with a slight shift northward in the short term
    and a westward nudge in the long term.  The new official forecast
    is close to the dynamical model consensus, minus the GFDL.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  23/2100Z 19.1N 110.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
     12H  24/0600Z 19.5N 111.5W   55 KT  65 MPH
     24H  24/1800Z 20.2N 112.9W   55 KT  65 MPH
     36H  25/0600Z 20.6N 114.1W   55 KT  65 MPH
     48H  25/1800Z 20.8N 115.2W   50 KT  60 MPH
     72H  26/1800Z 20.9N 117.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
     96H  27/1800Z 21.8N 120.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
    120H  28/1800Z 22.5N 122.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    
    $$
    Forecaster Blake
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm FRANK Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    FOPZ12 KNHC 232036
    PWSEP2
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM FRANK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9            
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072016               
    2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANK WAS LOCATED NEAR        
    LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
    WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    CABO SAN LUCAS 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    SAN JOSE CABO  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    LA PAZ         34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    ISLA SOCORRO   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    ISLA SOCORRO   50  3   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    ISLA CLARION   34  1   3( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm FRANK Graphics

    Tropical Storm FRANK 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 23 Jul 2016 20:38:36 GMT


    Tropical Storm FRANK 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 23 Jul 2016 21:06:16 GMT

Tropical Storm Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Storm GEORGETTE (EP3/EP082016)
    ...GEORGETTE A LITTLE STRONGER... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sat Jul 23 the center of GEORGETTE was located near 13.9, -122.3 with movement WNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

  • Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Public Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 232037 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082016 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016 ...GEORGETTE A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.9N 122.3W ABOUT 1020 MI...1645 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Georgette was located near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 122.3 West. Georgette is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Georgette is expected to become a hurricane by tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan ]]>
  • Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Forecast Advisory Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    WTPZ23 KNHC 232036
    TCMEP3
     
    TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
    2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
     
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
     
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 122.3W AT 23/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
    50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
    34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
    12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 122.3W AT 23/2100Z
    AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 121.9W
     
    FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 123.7W
    MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
    50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N 125.4W
    MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
    50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
    34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.4N 126.7W
    MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
    64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
    50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
    34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.3N 127.8W
    MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.6N 129.3W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
    34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
     
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 19.9N 131.2W
    MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 135.0W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 122.3W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN
     
     
    
    
  • Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Forecast Discussion Number 9
    Issued at 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    WTPZ43 KNHC 232038
    TCDEP3
    
    TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
    200 PM PDT SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    It appears that the shear is decreasing over Georgette, with the
    outflow improving and the mid- and low-level centers coming into
    better alignment.  Visible imagery suggests a ragged eye trying to
    develop, with a small mid-level eye noted in a 1539Z SSMIS overpass.
    The initial intensity is set to 60 kt based on a blend of the latest
    Dvorak estimates of T4.0/65 kt from TAFB and T3.5/55 kt from SAB.
    This is also close to the latest UW-CIMSS SATCON estimate of 61 kt.
    The initial 34-kt wind radii were adjusted based on data from a
    1444Z pass of the RapidScat scatterometer on board the
    International Space Station.
    
    Georgette has 24-36 hours left before moving over SSTs below 26C,
    and with the shear less than 10 kt some further intensification
    seems likely.  By 48 hours and beyond, weakening is forecast due to
    cooler SSTs, some increase in shear, and a drier more stable
    atmospheric environment.  The new NHC intensity forecast is similar
    to the last one and is near the high end of the guidance through 36
    hours, but still below the HWRF.  During the weakening phase the
    official forecast is near or a little below IVCN and shows
    Georgette becoming post-tropical by the end of the forecast period.
    
    The initial motion is a little more westward (285/10), perhaps due
    to the low- and mid-level centers coming closer together.  Georgette
    will be steered in the next 36 to 48 hours by a strong mid-level
    ridge to the north.  In 2 to 3 days an upper-level low slides north
    of Georgette underneath the ridge, and the model guidance this
    cycle shows a sharper poleward turn at days 3 and 4 as Georgette
    feels more of a steering influence from this feature.  A turn back
    toward the west-northwest is expected by day 5 as Georgette weakens
    and is steered by the low-level trade winds.  The new NHC track
    forecast is a little south of the previous one through 48 hours due
    to the initial position and motion and is close to the consensus.
    Later in the period the track has been shifted northward, but lies
    on the left side of the guidance envelope near the GFS.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  23/2100Z 13.9N 122.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
     12H  24/0600Z 14.5N 123.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
     24H  24/1800Z 15.4N 125.4W   75 KT  85 MPH
     36H  25/0600Z 16.4N 126.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
     48H  25/1800Z 17.3N 127.8W   70 KT  80 MPH
     72H  26/1800Z 18.6N 129.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
     96H  27/1800Z 19.9N 131.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
    120H  28/1800Z 21.3N 135.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brennan
    
    
    
  • Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
    Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016
    
    000
    FOPZ13 KNHC 232038
    PWSEP3
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9        
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016               
    2100 UTC SAT JUL 23 2016                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
    LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
    WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
    
    
  • Tropical Storm GEORGETTE Graphics

    Tropical Storm GEORGETTE 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 23 Jul 2016 20:40:48 GMT


    Tropical Storm GEORGETTE 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 23 Jul 2016 21:06:49 GMT

Interesting Weather Facts
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