Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast



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NWS Memphis Weather Forecast Office

NWS Memphis - Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast
County Warning Area [CWA]: MEG
Regional NWS Weather Office: Memphis, TN

000
FNUS54 KMEG 282024
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will move into the Mid-South overnight.
This will likely result in a wetting rain across most, if not all,
of the area. Periodic rain chances are anticipated throughout the
week, with the late week system appearing to have the greatest
potential impact. Gusty south winds will persist through this
evening, decreasing by Monday morning. Winds will shift from the
north on Tuesday behind a cold front, quickly resuming southerly
flow by Wednesday morning.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-291000-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     90           90           60
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
Precip Amount         0.40         0.24         0.07         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 5            10           1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h trend)      65 (-2)      73 (-9)      59           80
RH % (24h trend)      97 (+23)     69 (+19)     99           45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 8-12 G19                NE 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 11-15 G25  SW 5-9 G17   SW 2-6       SE 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2300                      4300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2500                      4600
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  6                     S  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 14                     S  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4800                      4200
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      NE  3
Dispersion Index      34           30           6            19
LAL                   4            4            4            1
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            5
Stability Class       D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-291000-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     80           90           40
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
Precip Amount         0.30         0.33         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 3            7            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h trend)      65 (0)       72 (-9)      60           80
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+18)    72 (+17)     100          48
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 6-10 G17                NE 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 10-14 G23 S 5-9        S 2-6        SE 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2200                      4700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2400                      4900
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  7                     S  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 15                     S  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4900                      4500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 11                      NE  4
Dispersion Index      30           31           6            16
LAL                   4            4            3            1
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            5
Stability Class       D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            2            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-291000-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     30           90           90           10
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.09         0.48         0.24         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            11           7            1
Precip Begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Temp (24h trend)      66 (0)       75 (-9)      60           80
RH % (24h trend)      90 (+8)      68 (+22)     100          45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 8-12 G20                N 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 9-13 G21   S 6-10 G18   S 3-7        NW 3-7
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  500                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1800                      4400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2200                      4800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  6                      NE  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      NE  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      4500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  8                      NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 19                      NE  5
Dispersion Index      28           32           10           19
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            4
Stability Class       D            C            D            B
Stagnation Index      2                         3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-291000-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           80           80           10
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        None
Precip Amount         0.07         0.50         0.17         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            10           7
Precip Begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h trend)      65 (0)       75 (-8)      60           81
RH % (24h trend)      95 (+12)     66 (+18)     100          46
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 7-11 G19                NW 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 9-13 G20   S 6-10 G18   S 4-8        NW 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1900                      4400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2300                      4800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  7                      NW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 16                      NW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4900                      4500
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  8                      N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 17                      N  6
Dispersion Index      28           33           10           17
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            4
Stability Class       D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-291000-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           90           70           10
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
Precip Amount         0.14         0.60         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            11           2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM
Temp (24h trend)      66 (+2)      73 (-9)      60           81
RH % (24h trend)      98 (+15)     73 (+18)     100          49
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 7-11 G18                NW 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 10-14 G23 S 6-10       S 4-8        SW 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1900                      4900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  600                       1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2100                      5100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  7                      SW  2
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW  5
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4200                      3200
Category Day                       3                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      NE  2
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 12                      NE  4
Dispersion Index      26           31           10           15
LAL                   3            4            4            2
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            4
Stability Class       D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2                         3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-291000-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
324 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     10           80           80           20
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.58         0.45         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs)              5            8            1
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   1 PM
Temp (24h trend)      64 (+1)      78 (-4)      60           83
RH % (24h trend)      91 (+3)      60 (+11)     100          45
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 7-11 G20                W 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 9-13 G19  S 7-11 G18   S 4-8        W 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1900                      4800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2300                      5200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  8                      NW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 18                      NW  6
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5600                      4800
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  8                      N  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 18                      N  6
Dispersion Index      26           41           11           17
LAL                   2            4            4            3
LASI/Haines Index     3            3            3            4
Stability Class       D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            2            2            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast from: NOAA-NWS