Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast



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NWS Memphis Weather Forecast Office

NWS Memphis - Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast
County Warning Area [CWA]: MEG
Regional NWS Weather Office: Memphis, TN

000
FNUS54 KMEG 200937
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Rain will return to the Midsouth over the next 24 hours. A slow
moving cold front will bring rain and thunder along and west of
the Mississippi River tonight. Precipitation will spread east
across the remaining Midsouth tomorrow with potential flooding.
Temperatures will remain above normal. Highs in the 70s ahead of
the front will fall into the 50s and 60s behind. The wet pattern
will continue through the upcoming weekend with additional
flooding possible.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-202315-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     40           100          100
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.08         1.16         1.37
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            11           12
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (+2)      47 (-14)     49
RH % (24h Trend)      71 (+1)      100 (+3)     64
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 12-16 G23               N 9-13 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 13-17 G24  S 9-13       NE 9-13 G19
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1253                      312
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4111                      1025
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1339                      398
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4393                      1306
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 16                      N 11
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 37                      N 24
Vent Index (m2/s)     21424                     4378
Category Day          5                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71                        54
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 14                      NE 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 31                      NE 29
Dispersion Index      83           42           50
LAL                   2            3            2
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      0            0            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Rain showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds around 5 mph
becoming southeast after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum RH 75 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-202315-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     30           80           100
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.03         0.57         1.63
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            7            12
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      77 (+3)      55 (-5)      58
RH % (24h Trend)      69 (+3)      100 (+1)     60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 11-15 G20               N 7-11 G17
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 12-16 G23  S 9-13       NE 9-13
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1398                      308
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4586                      1012
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1460                      371
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4789                      1216
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 16                      NE 10
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 36                      NE 23
Vent Index (m2/s)     23360                     3710
Category Day          5                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 72                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 13                      NE 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 29                      NE 28
Dispersion Index      98           32           41
LAL                   2            3            3
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds around
5 mph becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 60.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 50.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly clear. Lows in
the mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in
the afternoon.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-202315-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     10           70           100
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.26         1.15
Precip Dur (hrs)                   6            12
Precip Begins                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip Ends                        Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      76 (+2)      56 (-5)      57
RH % (24h Trend)      64 (+6)      100 (+8)     60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 10-14 G20               N 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 11-15 G21  S 8-12       N 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    643                       264
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2108                      865
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    764                       385
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2505                      1262
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 12                      N  9
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 28                      N 21
Vent Index (m2/s)     9168                      3465
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69                        58
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 13                      N 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 28                      N 22
Dispersion Index      55           51           39
LAL                   1            3            2
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph
becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 70. Minimum
RH 72 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-202315-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           100
Precip Type           showers      tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.13         0.96
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            5            12
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      77 (+3)      59 (-2)      63
RH % (24h Trend)      63 (+5)      100 (+6)     59
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G19                NW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 10-14 G21  S 7-11       N 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    708                       260
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2324                      854
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    830                       381
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2723                      1251
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 12                      N  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 26                      N 16
Vent Index (m2/s)     9960                      2667
Category Day          4                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 69                        63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 12                      N  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 26                      N 21
Dispersion Index      61           48           34
LAL                   2            3            3
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around
5 mph becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east after midnight.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
afternoon.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-202315-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     30           60           100
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.02         0.09         0.97
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            12
Precip Begins         6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      79 (+3)      62 (+1)      67
RH % (24h Trend)      63 (+8)      100 (+2)     58
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 9-13 G20                SW 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 10-14 G21  S 7-11 G17   N 7-11
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    1242                      381
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   4075                      1249
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    1314                      453
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   4310                      1485
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S 14                      SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 31                      SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s)     18396                     3171
Category Day          5                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 71                        68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S 11                      E  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 24                      E 20
Dispersion Index      96           37           41
LAL                   2            3            3
LASI                  3            2            2
Stability             D            D            D
Stagnation Index      2            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Lows around 60. East winds around 5 mph
becoming south after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in
the afternoon.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-202315-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
337 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           30           90
Precip Type           showers      showers      tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.01         0.52
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            1            7
Precip Begins         12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      79 (+3)      64 (+4)      73
RH % (24h Trend)      60 (+4)      99 (+5)      60
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11                    S 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 7-11       S 6-10       W 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)    748                       963
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)   2453                      3161
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)    872                       1087
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)   2860                      3567
Transport Wnd (m/s)   S  9                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)   S 21                      SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)     7848                      8696
Category Day          3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 68                        71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)  S  9                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)  S 20                      S 17
Dispersion Index      45           46           68
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI                  2            2            2
Stability             C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming
southwest in the afternoon.

$$

Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast from: NOAA-NWS