Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast



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NWS Memphis Weather Forecast Office

NWS Memphis - Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast
County Warning Area [CWA]: MEG
Regional NWS Weather Office: Memphis, TN

985
FNUS54 KMEG 241951
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and quiet conditions are expected across the region through Wednesday
morning. Temperatures will warm in to the upper 70s and lower 80s for Tuesday,
with upper 70s to middle 80s on Wednesday.

An upper level trough and associated cold front will bring shower
and thunderstorm chances back to the Mid-South for Wednesday
afternoon into Thursday. An unsettled pattern is expected to
continue into next weekend as a series of upper level disturbances
move across the region with highs in the 70s and 80s and lows mainly
in the 60s.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-251115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.14
Precip Dur (hrs)                                             2
Precip Begins                                                7 AM
Precip Ends                                                  Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      52 (+5)      81 (+9)      62           76
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (+14)     39 (+1)      93           63
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 5-9 G17                 S 9-13 G19
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G22  S 8-12 G18   S 11-15
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1118                      564
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3667                      1851
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1204                      650
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3949                      2133
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 26                      S 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  14448                     6500
Category Day                       4                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 10                      S 12
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 23                      S 26
Dispersion Index      5            66           30           48
LAL                   1            1            1            4
LASI                  4            4            4            2
Stability             F            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-251115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Clear        MClear       MClear       MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            40
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip Dur (hrs)                                             2
Precip Begins                                                7 AM
Precip Ends                                                  Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+6)      82 (+11)     62           78
RH % (24h Trend)      89 (+3)      37 (-5)      91           61
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 4-8                     S 9-13 G19
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 11-15 G22  S 9-13 G19   S 12-16 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1108                      855
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3634                      2804
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1170                      917
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3838                      3008
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 11                      S 13
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 25                      S 29
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12870                     11921
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        68
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 10                      S 13
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 22                      S 28
Dispersion Index      4            61           56           54
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                  5            4            3            3
Stability             F            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-251115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      50 (+2)      79 (+12)     59           79
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (+3)      42 (-17)     90           54
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 2-6                     S 6-10
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 5-9        S 4-8        S 8-12
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1034                      872
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3393                      2862
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1156                      993
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3794                      3259
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  8                      S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 17                      S 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9248                      8937
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      S 22
Dispersion Index      4            45           17           48
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                  3            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph becoming southeast
late in the evening.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly
cloudy. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-251115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       MClear       PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      51 (+2)      81 (+15)     59           81
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (+1)      38 (-25)     92           53
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 2-6                     S 7-11
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 6-10       S 5-9        S 9-13
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1056                      908
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3465                      2979
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1179                      1029
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3867                      3376
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  8                      S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 17                      S 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  9432                      10290
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              70                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  6                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 14                      S 22
Dispersion Index      8            46           38           49
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph becoming southeast
late in the evening.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-251115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Clear        Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Dur (hrs)                                             1
Precip Begins                                                7 AM
Precip Ends                                                  Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      53 (+7)      83 (+14)     60           81
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (-2)      35 (-16)     93           54
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 3-7                     S 7-11 G18
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 8-12 G19   S 6-10       S 11-15 G22
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1113                      1042
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3650                      3420
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1184                      1114
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3886                      3655
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      S 25
Vent Index (m2/s)                  10656                     12254
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              73                        69
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  7                      S 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 16                      S 25
Dispersion Index      4            54           42           57
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-251115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
251 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MClear       Clear        MClear       PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      51 (+1)      82 (+19)     58           84
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (+5)      34 (-29)     93           44
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 4-8        S 3-7        S 9-13
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1086                      774
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3563                      2539
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1210                      898
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3970                      2945
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  6                      S 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 13                      S 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7260                      8980
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 10                      S 20
Dispersion Index      5            33           35           43
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph becoming east late in
the evening.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

AC3

Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast from: NOAA-NWS