Atlantic, Caribbean & Pacific Ocean Infrared Loops


Pacific Ocean Infrared Loop Pacific Ocean Analysis
Pacific Ocean Infrared Loop Pacific Ocean Analysis
   
Atlantic Ocean Visible Loop Atlantic Ocean Analysis
Atlantic Ocean Infrared Loop Latest Atlantic Ocean Analysis
   
Caribbean Ocean Visible Loop  
Caribbean Ocean Visible Loop  
 
Global Sea Surface Temperatures
Global Sea Surface Temperatures

North Atlantic Ocean / Gulf of Mexico / Caribbean Sea
Tropical Forecast & Discussion


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 192319
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Harvey, located over the central
Caribbean Sea.

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized near a trough of low
pressure located a couple of hundred miles north of the northern
Leeward Islands.  Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for development of this system during the next couple of
days while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.  Conditions
could become slightly more conducive for development once the system
is near the northern Bahamas or Florida around the middle of next
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave located about a thousand miles east of the Lesser
Antilles is producing a large area of cloudiness but limited
showers and thunderstorms.  The wave is currently embedded in a
dry air mass, and upper-level winds are expected to become too
strong to support development in a couple of days.  Therefore,
tropical cyclone formation is not likely while this system moves
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Summary for Remnants of Harvey (AT4/AL092017)

...HARVEY DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...
 As of 11:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 19
 the center of Harvey was located near 14.3, -71.8
 with movement W at 22 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Remnants of Harvey Public Advisory Number 11

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017  

000
WTNT34 KNHC 200232
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Harvey Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

...HARVEY DEGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL WAVE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 71.8W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM N OF NTHRN TIP OF GUAJIRA PNSULA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in northern Nicaragua, northern Honduras, Belize, and the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico should monitor the progress of the
remnants of Harvey.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the remnants of Harvey were located near
latitude 14.3 North, longitude 71.8 West.  The tropical wave
associated with Harvey's remnants is moving quickly toward the west
near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion will continue for the
next day or two.  The remnants are expected to move westward across
the central Caribbean Sea on Sunday and across the western Caribbean
Sea toward Central America on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system unless regeneration occurs or if tropical
cyclone watches or warnings are required for land areas.  Additional
information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Remnants of Harvey Forecast Advisory Number 11

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017  

000
WTNT24 KNHC 200231
TCMAT4

REMNANTS OF HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...BELIZE...AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE
REMNANTS OF HARVEY.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  71.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  71.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  70.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  71.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS OR IF TROPICAL
CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED FOR LAND AREAS.  ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

Remnants of Harvey Forecast Discussion Number 11

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017  

000
WTNT44 KNHC 200233
TCDAT4

Remnants Of Harvey Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1100 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated Harvey
earlier this evening and was unable to close off a center of
circulation.  The plane found a well-defined wind shift across the
wave axis, and winds decreased as the plane flew south along the
axis toward a pressure minimum south of 14N.  Harvey has therefore
degenerated into an open wave, and this will be the last advisory.
Maximum surface winds, as measured by the plane, remain 30 kt.  As
a side note, the associated deep convection has continued to lose
organization and is now oriented linearly from northeast to
southwest along the wave axis.

Harvey's remnants are moving quickly westward with a motion of
275/19 kt.  A fast westward to west-northwestward motion is
expected to continue for the next couple of days as the wave moves
along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.  A break in
the ridge caused by a mid- to upper-level low over the Gulf of
Mexico could cause the system to turn northwestward and slow down
as it moves across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche in 3-5 days.

The global models, particularly the GFS and ECMWF, deserve a lot of
credit for showing Harvey dissipating, or at least not
strengthening, over the Caribbean Sea.  Even though the vertical
shear that has been plaguing the system is expected to diminish in
24-48 hours, the system's fast motion and ambient dry air will
likely keep Harvey's remnants from regenerating into a tropical
cyclone in the near term.  For that reason, the solutions shown by
the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET appear most reasonable, keeping the
system as an open wave, or possibly regenerating to a tropical
depression before it reaches Belize and the Yucatan coast.
Regeneration is also possible if the remnants emerge over the Bay
of Campeche.

The remnants of Harvey will be monitored for signs of regeneration
and for the possibility of bringing tropical storm conditions to
Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next couple of
days.  If necessary, advisories could be resumed and tropical storm
watches or warnings issued before Harvey regains tropical cyclone
status.  Please refer to the Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for
this system's potential to regenerate into a tropical cyclone,
beginning with the 2 AM issuance on Sunday morning.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/0300Z 14.3N  71.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS OF HARVEY
 12H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

Remnants of Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017                                              

000
FONT14 KNHC 200232
PWSAT4
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF HARVEY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3     
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS
...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                                                
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
 
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
 
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG

Remnants of Harvey Graphics

Remnants of Harvey 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 02:37:51 GMT

Remnants of Harvey 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 03:24:08 GMT

Eastern Pacific Ocean
Tropical Forecast & Discussion


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 192311
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Kenneth, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Summary for Tropical Storm Kenneth (EP3/EP132017)

...KENNETH FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT...
 As of 8:00 PM PDT Sat Aug 19
 the center of Kenneth was located near 16.2, -125.3
 with movement W at 17 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 996 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.

Tropical Storm Kenneth Public Advisory Number 7

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017  

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 200231
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kenneth Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132017
800 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017

...KENNETH FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 125.3W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1775 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 125.3 West. Kenneth is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A slower
west-northwestward motion is expected Sunday, and a gradual turn
toward the northwest is forecast on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected, and
Kenneth is forecast to become a hurricane later tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Advisory Number 7

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017  

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 200231
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 125.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 125.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 124.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.6N 127.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.3N 129.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.3N 131.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 132.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.3N 134.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.3N 135.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.5N 136.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 125.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tropical Storm Kenneth Forecast Discussion Number 7

Issued at 800 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017  

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 200232
TCDEP3

Tropical Storm Kenneth Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132017
800 PM PDT Sat Aug 19 2017

Kenneth is very near hurricane strength.  It's rather apparent that
the northeasterly shear has relaxed, which, in turn, has resulted in
much less structural vertical tilt and a developing inner core
with -80C cloud tops.  The upper-level outflow over the northern
portion of Kenneth has recently become quite diffluent as well.
Based on the recent improving cloud pattern trend and a blend of the
subjective and objective T-numbers, the initial intensity is bumped
up to 60 kt.

Kenneth should continue to strengthen during the next 36 to 48
hours.  Beyond that time period, decreasing oceanic temperatures
and a trajectory into a more stable environment should result in
a gradual weakening trend.  The cyclone is forecast to gradually
spin down over cooler water of less than 23C, and become a
post-tropical cyclone by day 5.  The intensity forecast is an
update of the previous one and is weighted heavily on the IVCN
multi-model consensus.

The initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 280/15 kt.
There are no significant changes to the forecast philosophy.
Kenneth should gradually round the southwestern periphery of a
subtropical high extending west of the Baja California Peninsula
during the next couple of days, and afterward, turn northwestward
into a growing weakness in the aforementioned ridge.  Toward the end
of the forecast period, the cyclone should continue moving into the
break in the ridge and in a more north-northwestward fashion.  There
still remains considerable model spread after day 3.  The ECMWF,
UKMET, and ECMWF ensemble mean all indicate a faster weakening trend
which causes a vertically shallower Kenneth to track more toward
the northwest to west-northwest within the low- to mid-level
steering flow.  All other available guidance indicate a more
gradual spin down and a northwestward to north-northwestward track
beyond day 3. Consequently the NHC official forecast splits these
two solutions, and is very close to the HFIP Corrected Consensus
model.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  20/0300Z 16.2N 125.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 12H  20/1200Z 16.6N 127.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
 24H  21/0000Z 17.3N 129.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 36H  21/1200Z 18.3N 131.2W   75 KT  85 MPH
 48H  22/0000Z 19.5N 132.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  23/0000Z 22.3N 134.5W   60 KT  70 MPH
 96H  24/0000Z 25.3N 135.7W   45 KT  50 MPH
120H  25/0000Z 27.5N 136.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017                                              

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 200231
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017               
0300 UTC SUN AUG 20 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 130W       34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
20N 130W       34  X   2( 2)  21(23)   7(30)   4(34)   X(34)   X(34)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)  28(46)   1(47)   X(47)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  27(39)   2(41)
25N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)
25N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
30N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
25N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS

Tropical Storm Kenneth Graphics

Tropical Storm Kenneth 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 02:38:14 GMT

Tropical Storm Kenneth 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Aug 2017 03:31:03 GMT